The Future of North American Natural Gas Prices

Under the combined impact of unusually warm weather and ballooning supply, natural gas prices have taken a beating this winter in North America. Recent announcements by Chesapeake Energy and ConocoPhillips that they will cut gas drilling operations is an important first step towards shoring up the beleaguered price of natural gas. We even saw a short term bump in price immediately following.

But will this be enough to ease the pain? Our research suggests not.

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Sinopec Joins CNOOC in Major North American Unconventional Resource Deal

A US$2.5 billion joint venture alliance between Devon Energy and Sinopec has been announced. Sinopec will acquire a 33.33% interest in Devon's acreage across five new venture plays. The alliance includes an estimated 1.2 million acres in the Tuscaloosa Marine Shale, Niobrara, Oklahoma Mississippian play, Ohio Utica shale, and the Michigan Basin. The Niobrara, Mississippian and Utica shale acreage is liquids weighted. The Michigan and Tuscaloosa acreage includes both oil and gas. The distribution of total acreage contributed to the alliance by play is shown below.

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Total S.A. Enters Liquids-Weighted Utica Shale Play

A joint venture between Chesapeake, EnerVest Ltd., and Total has been announced in the liquids-weighted Utica Shale play in Ohio. The joint venture combines 542,000 net acres contributed by Chesapeake with 77,000 net acres contributed by EnerVest Ltd.

Total will acquire a 25% interest in the combined JV acreage through a US$700 million upfront cash payment. Total has also agreed to carry 60% of future capital costs by Chesapeake and EnerVest over a period expected to last not more than 7 years. Reflecting aggressive drilling plans, Total announced that its share of net output will reach 100 Mb/d by 2020.

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